Sunday, May 16, 2010

McGuinty Bankrupting Ontario's Power

Power burnout


Still loaded with debt, Ontario’s electricity sector is headed for another meltdown

By Tom Adams

Wednesday’s article on this page by Parker Gallant, “Still stranded after all these years,” shines much-needed light on the finances of Ontario’s power system. With the McGuinty government outdoing the causes of Ontario Hydro’s bankruptcy in 1998 — it is investing heavily again in CANDU nuclear power and signing 20-year power purchase deals at up to 12 times current consumer cost — reviewing the last bankruptcy is timely.

When Ontario Hydro collapsed, a major concern was its liability legacy — bonds, nuclear wastes and costly power purchase deals. In 2001, Mike Harris’s Conservative government promised to wipe out the debt within 10 years.

With 10 years of results reported for the debt reduction program, how is it working?

Let’s examine the special electricity tax on the power bills of Ontario consumers, called the Debt Reduction Charge (DRC), created to eliminate the most troublesome subset of Ontario Hydro’s liabilities, called the residual stranded debt.

Ontario Electricity Financial Corporation (OEFC) was created out of Hydro’s ashes with $38.1-billion in total debt and other liabilities. A portion of the $38.1-billion was supported by the assets of Ontario Hydro’s successor companies. Officially $20.9-billion was not supported by any assets, or stranded. With new special taxes on electricity distributors and by earmarking future profits of Crown-owned Ontario Power Generation and Hydro One, most of the “stranded debt” (about $13-billion) was considered serviceable. The “residual stranded debt” was left over and pegged at $7.8-billion.

Under the plan, this residual debt would be paid down by the DRC tax on electricity consumers, pegged at 0.7¢ per kilowatt-hour. Target pay down was 2010.

OEFC’s annual reports reveal how cost growth has overwhelmed the original debt elimination plan, slowing debt repayment to a trickle. The officially estimated date for retiring the electricity debt has been skidding — now OEFC says 2014-2018. Worryingly, the Ontario government’s electricity planning authority’s only public statement on the subject forecasts that the DRC will continue to be collected until 2020.

Since it started, OEFC has collected $36.3-billion from rate payers through various channels, including $6.85-billion from the DRC. However, OEFC reports that the initial unfunded liability — all the stranded debt including residual stranded debt — has declined by only $3.2-billion (see graph above).

Even the modest actual progress exaggerates the gains attributable to DRC proceeds. In 2005, the McGuinty government increased power rates, in part by allowing OEFC to flow through directly to consumers the full extent of the bloated costs of old money-losing non-utility generators (NUG) costs. From the time of market opening until the end of 2004, the average losses to OEFC on the NUG contracts (awarded to private firms at inflated electricity prices) were about $220-million per year.

Notwithstanding many revenue streams earmarked to pay down the stranded debt, an amount less than the DRC revenue has been applied against Hydro’s legacy. Even new revenue streams, such as the NUG flow-through, have had little effect on the outstanding balance.

The stranded debt has dropped so little largely because the overall debt plan depends heavily on profitibility at OPG’, the giant generating complex left over following the failure of the old Ontario Hydro. OPG agreed as a condition of its debt bailout when it was created in 1999 to pay off its portion of the “stranded debt” while subject to something called a Market Power Mitigation Agreement (MPMA). The MPMA , supposedly to offset the great cost advantages of OPG, limited OPG’s revenue to 3.8¢ per kilowatt hour. Instead of market power, however, OPG produced market losses. It has enjoyed several major revenue bailouts. In 2005, with OPG facing insolvency, the McGuinty government relieved the big generator of having to refund MPMA rebates to consumers, effectively undoing OPG’s half of the quid pro quo that was the basis for having almost all of its debt eliminated in 1999. Also in 2005, OPG’s nuclear and some of its hydro-electric capacity became regulated, relaxing revenue controls further.

In 2009, OPG’s average revenue was 6.07¢ per kWh. Notwithstanding a 60% revenue increase since the days of the MPMA, OPG’s net income still lags. No matter what its revenues, OPG costs have risen to match them and then some.

In addition to OPG’s weakness, another factor draining OEFC revenues is the government’s repeated use of OEFC to fund policy initiatives. OEFC now funds OPG’s coal phase-out costs with “contingent support” payments.

Coal-related payments to OPG are just one portion of the huge growth in the various new charges to Ontario electricity consumers beginning in mid 2008. Premier Dalton McGuinty is now using one of those charges, called the Global Adjustment Charge, to move costly government policy initiatives, including direct Ministry of Energy operations, onto consumer power bills.

OEFC’s annual statements refer to its debt reduction plan, its revisions, and the range of dates for paying down the stranded debt or the residual stranded debt. However, no iteration of that plan or its successors has ever been made public. Without the debt plan and the details of Global Adjustment being publicly available, there is no hope of keeping the government agencies accountable. Ontario’s electricity system is essentially moving back to where it was in 1998 — rolling in debt, facing rising costs, and funding electricity projects that are designed to lose money.

Financial Post
Tom Adams is an energy consultant based in Toronto.




Read more: http://opinion.financialpost.com/2010/05/13/power-burnout/#ixzz0o6sbvZBS

97 comments:

  1. You have to ask, why the need to remove so much cash from our wallets. As usual there is really no legitimate reason. Mis-management and political interference are some of the main culprits but the biggest drain is OP managements need to stack their own bank accounts with large raises in salary and bonuses.
    This is what a large number of folks are getting pissed about. People can handle higher material and other costs etc, but for them to blatently reduce our standard of living through higher hydro bills so they can enjoy very high end corporate salaries is not going to happen.
    Canadian citizens have to put an end to 2 sources of the new budding millionaires of the country. We need to kill these increases in Hydro rates and we need to kill the property tax system both of which is forcing many elderly folks out of their homes at the very time of need.

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  2. Ont. Hydro is an economic obscenity in every respect.

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  3. I would like to know who got the idea to make homeowners pay for everything. I was in europe and ask my brothers. How much property tax they pay. Would you believe 10%of what i pay.I came back made as hell.Schools and police are paid by the federal government. Canada will be happy when they force me to sell my home

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  4. Since the taxpayers of the province are paying for it's debts, they need to buy the sucker outright and fire all persons making over 120,000 a year and re-open the positions at 1/2 their present salaries. I guarantee an overnight profit!

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  5. This is a great website. Keep up the good work.

    The crazy thing about all these hydro rate increases (including increases tucked away in increased delivery charges) is that they come at a time when the McGinty government is "theoretically" trying to promote the use of electric automobiles and to deter the use of fossil feuls for home heating. He's Mr. Green after all, isn't he?

    Wait until all the presumed purchasers of electric automobiles start feuling up their cars through their home outlets. (I understand that an electric car can take up to five hours to re-charge.) I'm guessing they'll be in for a nice shock (no pun intended) when these charges are added to their electricity bills!

    I feel particularly sorry for the folks that live in Ontario's northlands (I have a cottage up there and get regularly jammed with outrageous hydro charges). In particular, I feel sorry for seniors and those of low to medium income (meaning most who live in the north of this province; there's few Bay-streeters or Sunshine-listers up there). Many heat their homes with radiant electric heat (or at least supplement their wood-burning stoves or fireplaces by radiant electric heat). Many do not have the option of efficiently switching to propane heat, given the need/cost of installing ductwork,etc.

    More and more, I see more modest homes going up for sale in the Huntsville area than in previous years. I suspect its at least in part because people can no longer afford the delivery charges Hydro One imposes for having electricity "delivered" to their properties. Ironically, I have spoken to many people who have stock-piled more wood than usual with the intent of trying to heat their properties entirely with wood, almost like going back to pioneer days.

    One old-timer told me that McGuinty will be lucky if anyone north of Barrie votes for him. There that pissed.

    It's a sad tale when the McGuinty government pretends to be on the side of the environment while at the same time promoting hydro increases which implicitly will kill the electric car industry and will promote the greater use of fossil feuls for home heating, including most notably wood. A clear sign that one hand of the government doesn't know what the other is doing.

    In short, McGuinty really doesn't know what he is doing, and Hydro One and friends are taking advantage of this hapless politician. Having said that, I'm not sure any one can clean up the mess at Hydro One.

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  6. My 20 year plan is to boycott them. Tealite candles and charcoal are now at cost parity with electricity or cheaper. I am using both to cook on instead. I put up cheap Chinese solar panels which supply me with 25% of my daily needs. So easy anybody can do it. Tax free electricity from the sun makes me laugh as I watch them increase rates yet again. Over time i will put up more until one day I will have to make that phone call and tell them to "FLICK OFF". Boycott them anyway you can. They are pricing themselves out of their own monopoly! Roflmao. Panels are down to a buck a watt. Your next hydro bill could buy 10% of the panels you need to go off grid. Ontario hydro 2.0 is severely out to lunch. People are going back to the pioneer days? I'm cooking on candles? This is the biggest fraud in history. Boycott. Over the next 20 years this flunky bankrupt sunshine list Corp is going extinct to be replaced by free energy from natural resources. Saved by technology. Google "solar power taking over". Watch the YouTube video.

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